Blogging peak?
Published Thu, Dec 14 2006 5:03 PM
Technorati Tags: Blogging
One of Gartner Inc.'s top ten predictions for 2007 is that the number of bloggers will level off in the first half of the year. From the Associated Press via Forbes:
Could blogging be near the peak of its popularity? The technology gurus at Gartner Inc. believe so. One of the research company's top 10 predictions for 2007 is that the number of bloggers will level off in the first half of next year at roughly 100 million worldwide.
The reason: Most people who would ever dabble with Web journals already have. Those who love it are committed to keeping it up, while others have gotten bored and moved on, said Daryl Plummer, chief Gartner fellow.
"A lot of people have been in and out of this thing," Plummer said. "Everyone thinks they have something to say, until they're put on stage and asked to say it."
That's no knock on blogging. Plummer noted that this leveling-off dynamic plays out all the time, though it often comes as a bit of a surprise when it hits things that had achieved quick popularity.
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Of course, as the old saying goes, predictions are hard, especially about the future.
100 million bloggers? That's a lot of recycled electrons disguised as deep thoughts!
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